Formation of the scenarios to manage the behavior of an industrial enterprise: methodological approach and models

Abstract

The stochasticity of the industrial enterprise market environment stipulates necessarily the choice of effective tools for managing its behavior. Therefore, economic and mathematical models that enable to predict the behavior of an enterprise with a high level of accuracy are of particular relevance. The article is devoted to the development of a set of behaviorial scenarios of an industrial enterprise on the basis of the construction of an optimization model of the redistribution of capital and labor resources, aimed at maintaining a stability trajectory of its development. Three classes of enterprise behavior stability are proposed, which are characterized by 1%, 5%, and 10% of its behavioral trajectory fluctuations from the stability trajectory. This enabled to form many possible states of the enterprise and to determine the most achievable of them according to its resource constraints.